Want to be in the loop?
subscribe to
our notification
Business News
PUBLIC DEBT A BIG RISK FOR VN'S ECONOMY, SAY EXPERTS
The State budget deficit, which regularly remains at a high level, and rising public debt are among the biggest macro-economic risks facing Vietnam, making it more difficult for the Government to help the economy head towards growth, said Professor Tran Tho Dat, principal of the National Economics University (NEU).
Dat, who is a member of the Prime Minister’s economic advisory team, made the statement on Monday at the national scientific conference on Vietnam’s economy in 2018 and prospects for this year.
Participating specialists and scientists assessed Vietnam’s economic performance, pointed out shortcomings, analysed opportunities and made financial policy recommendations to ensure the safety and sustainability of nation’s finances.
According to Professor Dat, Vietnam’s economic performance has showed positive signs with last year’s GDP growth rate at 7.08 per cent, the highest rate in the last ten years. The primary contributions to growth come from Foreign Direct Investment, the processing and manufacturing industry, domestic consumption and a trade surplus.
However, efforts to improve the business climate have recently slowed. Other challenges come from difficulties encountered by the private sector and greater fiscal risks.
Vietnam’s public spending over the past ten years has remained high while State budget collection is unable to cover the spending. Vietnam’s State budget deficit is the highest in the region. The country has no other choice but to continue borrowing to compensate for the overspending, causing public debt to rise, he said.
“This has affected long-term economic growth, macro-economic stability and Vietnam’s capacity to respond to changes in the economic sector,” Dat said.
Associate Professor To Trung Thanh from NEU said Vietnam is vulnerable to external pressures. Escalating global trade conflicts are forecast to lead to declining demand for exports and decreasing foreign investment to the country.
Domestic factors also impact national economic growth. The slow restructuring of State-owned enterprises and the banking sector is predicted to place a greater burden on the public sector, he said.
Senior economist Vo Tri Thanh said economic growth depends on multi-national corporations. Vietnam will be affected if these groups face challenges, making it the biggest difficulty the country currently faces.
Participants at the conference agreed that it was necessary for Vietnam to assess fiscal policy in the context of new economic developments and analyse the impacts of fiscal policy on the economy.
Vietnam needs to reform its tax collection system to reduce the burden and cut spending on administrative management.
Financial allocation and management tasks should be assigned to local authorities and they must uphold their responsibility of ensuring transparency, the conference was told.
On the same day, the NEU released Vietnam’s Annual Economic Report 2018 themed “Towards sustainable fiscal policy that supports growth”.
Associate Professor Ta Trung Thanh, co-author of the report, said the document includes personal comments and independent policy arguments by NEU experts about economic issues in 2018. The scientific and practical evidence-based report discusses economic issues by using quantitative and qualitative methods.
“The report has different features and highlights compared to other annual economic reports. It will serve as a useful reference for policy makers,” he said.
The report’s first chapter evaluates Vietnam’s economic performance in 2018 and prospects for this year. The second part looks into Vietnam’s fiscal policy including State budget collection and spending and assesses the impacts of fiscal policy on the economy in the medium and long-term.
The last chapter proposes recommendations towards sustainable fiscal policy which supports economic growth.
Last year edition of the NEU’s report was themed “Removing barriers to the development of private enterprises”.
Source: VIR
Related News
CUSTOMS BUDGET REVENUE EXPERIENCES 3% DECLINE IN Q1
Vietnam’s import and export value reached a total of US$145.59 billion in the first quarter (Q1) of 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 18.2%. However, the customs budget revenue saw a 3% year-on-year decline, amounting to VND71,520 billion in the quarter, thereby achieving 19.1% of the full-year target.
RAPID LAW IMPLEMENTATION MAY PROPEL MARKET FORTUNES
“Investors and developers are looking forward to the implementation of the new law, which will remove obstacles for a range of projects that are struggling due to stalled procedures and lack of legality. For them, the earlier the better,” he said.
NATION URGED TO BUILD ON ECO-IP MODEL
Industrial parks (IPs) involved in an initiative that aims to help push them into the realm of being classed as eco-parks have seen improvements across a string of indicators, according to a review event in Ho Chi Minh City last week.
YEN LU INDUSTRIAL PARK: NEW DESTINATION FOR INVESTORS
Bac Giang is a destination chosen by many domestic and foreign investors thanks to its locational advantages and its most opening and favorable investment policies. Assisted by local authorities, Capella Land Joint Stock Company has effectively invested in industrial zones, especially Yen Lu Industrial Park - a new destination for investors, to contribute to the province’s success in investment attraction.
DEMAND SOARS, POWER ECONOMY URGED
The serious electricity shortage in the northern region in May-June 2023 is a valuable lesson on the importance and pivotal role of ensuring electricity security for socioeconomic development.
OPTIMIZING LEGAL AND REGULATORY FRAMEWORKS FOR EFFICIENT PUBLIC INVESTMENT DISBURSEMENT
According to the Ministry of Planning and Investment, a 1% increase in public investment raises GDP by 0.058%, and each VND1 disbursed stimulates an extra VND1.61 from the non-state sector. However, plan implementation often falls short at around 80% annually, despite government efforts.